Sport Picks
Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
Iceland
Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur 
Match Events
25'
25'
Birgisson A.
36'
36'
Olafsson I.
57'
57'
Sub
Willumsson T. In: Jonsson K.
Out: Willumsson T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hafnarfjordur
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Breidablik have won more games recently than Hafnarfjordur.
- Model gives Hafnarfjordur a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 20%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hafnarfjordur | Breidablik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
0:0
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur
3:3
Feb 19, 2026 League Cup
Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur
4:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hafnarfjordur 85 / 100
Breidablik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hafnarfjordur Breidablik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Hafnarfjordur found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Breidablik let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Hafnarfjordur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hafnarfjordur VS Breidablik
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hafnarfjordur
(Home) 20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2 Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0 KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1 Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1 Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2 Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0 KA Akureyri
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1 Keflavik
16 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 4 Vikingur Reykjavik
05 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1 KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 3
Breidablik
(Away) 20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1 Breidablik
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3 Breidablik
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2 Breidablik
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1 Breidablik
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2 Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1 Breidablik
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3 Breidablik
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2 Breidablik
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1 Breidablik
16 Aug
KR Reykjavik
3 : 3 Breidablik
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 67:21 | 53 |
| 2 | Fram | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 56:42 | 45 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 74:49 | 44 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 43:41 | 30 |
| 5 | Akranes | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 39:41 | 30 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:38 | 28 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 42:50 | 28 |
| 8 | Valur | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:45 | 27 |
| 9 | Hafnarfjordur | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 27:39 | 21 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:50 | 21 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 35:48 | 20 |
| 12 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 32:45 | 18 |
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)
