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Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Birgisson A.
36'
Olafsson I.
57'
Sub
Willumsson T. In: Jonsson K.
Out: Willumsson T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hafnarfjordur
20%
Draws
38%
Breidablik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Breidablik have won more games recently than Hafnarfjordur.
  • Model gives Hafnarfjordur a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur Breidablik
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 15
Draws 12 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
0:0
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur
3:3
Feb 19, 2026 League Cup
Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur
4:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 40 / 100
Breidablik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur Breidablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hafnarfjordur remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hafnarfjordur scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Breidablik has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS Breidablik
1 Goals Scored 3.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur

(Home)
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
12 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 0
Valur
03 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 2
Stjarnan
28 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Breidablik

(Away)
27 Jul
Breidablik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
13 Jul
Breidablik
2 : 1
Keflavik
04 Jul
Akranes
1 : 2
Breidablik
28 Jun
Breidablik
3 : 0
Vikingur Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 16 14 1 1 54:12 43
2 KR Reykjavik 16 11 2 3 58:36 35
3 Fram 16 10 4 2 41:28 34
4 Breidablik 16 8 5 3 35:26 29
5 Valur 16 6 1 9 26:32 19
6 Keflavik 16 5 4 7 25:33 19
7 Akranes 16 5 3 8 26:34 18
8 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 16 4 4 8 26:34 16
9 KA Akureyri 16 4 3 9 24:32 15
10 Stjarnan 16 4 3 9 29:41 15
11 Hafnarfjordur 16 2 7 7 20:31 13
12 Thor Akureyri 16 3 3 10 17:42 12
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)