Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hafnarfjordur vs Fram

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Birgisson A.
8' Event
Jonasson A.
Assist: Dimitrijevic V.
11' Event
Robertsson T.
Assist: Bjornsson U.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Hafnarfjordur and Fram finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fram.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Hafnarfjordur
35%
Draws
36%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur haven't matched Fram's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 14%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur Fram
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.45 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Hafnarfjordur
0:0
May 3, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Fram
3:4
Oct 25, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Fram
3:4
Sep 14, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Fram
2:2
Jun 15, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Hafnarfjordur
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Birgisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertsson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Chopart K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jonasson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 31 / 100
Fram 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur Fram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Hafnarfjordur went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hafnarfjordur found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS Fram
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur

(Home)
09 Aug
KA Akureyri
0 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
05 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
KR Reykjavik
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
12 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 0
Valur
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Fram

(Away)
01 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 2
Fram
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
18 Jul
Valur
2 : 3
Fram
12 Jul
Fram
6 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Jul
Keflavik
1 : 1
Fram
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 14 3 1 58:16 45
2 KR Reykjavik 18 12 3 3 64:39 39
3 Fram 18 11 4 3 45:34 37
4 Breidablik 18 8 5 5 36:30 29
5 Valur 18 7 1 10 31:36 22
6 Akranes 18 6 4 8 30:36 22
7 Keflavik 18 6 4 8 28:34 22
8 Stjarnan 18 6 3 9 33:43 21
9 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 4 5 9 29:38 17
10 Hafnarfjordur 18 3 8 7 22:32 17
11 KA Akureyri 18 4 3 11 24:36 15
12 Thor Akureyri 18 4 3 11 18:44 15
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)