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Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Agnarsson E. In: Finnbogason Kr.
Out: Agnarsson E.
27' Event
Birgisson A.
Assist: Halldorsson K.
45'
Jonsson B.

AI Match Summary

Hafnarfjordur in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hafnarfjordur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hafnarfjordur
20%
Draws
33%
KA Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • KA Akureyri have won more games recently than Hafnarfjordur.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hafnarfjordur taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 18%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur KA Akureyri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri
3:0
Aug 9, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
0:1
May 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri
5:0
Apr 27, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Birgisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertsson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

KA Akureyri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 67 / 100
KA Akureyri 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur KA Akureyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Hafnarfjordur scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

KA Akureyri let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Hafnarfjordur remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS KA Akureyri
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur

(Home)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
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KA Akureyri

(Away)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur 24 9 4 11 44:47 31
2 Stjarnan 24 9 4 11 46:55 31
3 Hafnarfjordur 24 6 9 9 35:41 27
4 KA Akureyri 24 6 5 13 38:51 23
5 Thor Akureyri 24 6 3 15 23:57 21
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 24 4 7 13 33:48 19
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)