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Hafnarfjordur vs Skallagrimur

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 2000 Kaplakriki
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hafnarfjordur play Skallagrimur in the Division 1 2000. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hafnarfjordur averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2 conceded. Skallagrimur averaged 1.77 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. In past meetings, Hafnarfjordur won 2, Skallagrimur won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 25, 2000 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Hafnarfjordur and 2.19 for Skallagrimur. This points to a Hafnarfjordur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Hafnarfjordur
21%
Draws
25%
Skallagrimur
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur picked up more points recently compared to Skallagrimur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%
Skallagrimur Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur Skallagrimur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 12 0
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.67 1.77
Goals Conceded 2 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2000 Division 1
Hafnarfjordur vs Skallagrimur
6:0
Jun 23, 2000 Division 1
Skallagrimur vs Hafnarfjordur
1:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 51 / 100
Skallagrimur 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur Skallagrimur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hafnarfjordur & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hafnarfjordur attacking → ← attacking Skallagrimur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hafnarfjordur scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Skallagrimur let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Hafnarfjordur went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Skallagrimur lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 21
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00