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Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Bjornsdottir E.
42'
Snorradottir H.
45'
Sub
Hjaltadottir T. In: Sigurdardottir R.
Out: Hjaltadottir T.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women game between Hafnarfjordur W and Stjarnan W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hafnarfjordur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Hafnarfjordur W
15%
Draws
12%
Stjarnan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hafnarfjordur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hafnarfjordur W come out ahead of Stjarnan W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hafnarfjordur W a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hafnarfjordur W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 19%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur W Stjarnan W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.73 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W
1:0
Jul 21, 2026 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W
7:3
May 10, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:2
Feb 16, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:3
Oct 1, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauksdottir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Stjarnan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur W 85 / 100
Stjarnan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur W Stjarnan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hafnarfjordur W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Stjarnan W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Stjarnan W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur W VS Stjarnan W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur W

(Home)
04 Oct
Hafnarfjordur W
5 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
30 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt W
4 : 1
Hafnarfjordur W
27 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
3 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
23 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
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Stjarnan W

(Away)
02 Oct
Stjarnan W
0 : 0
Grindavik/Njardvik W
27 Sept
Throttur W
5 : 1
Stjarnan W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
07 Sept
Stjarnan W
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
29 Aug
Fram W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 21 15 1 5 57:27 46
2 Hafnarfjordur W 21 13 4 4 64:35 43
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 21 9 3 9 36:44 30
4 Stjarnan W 21 7 6 8 32:33 27
5 Throttur W 21 7 5 9 36:37 26
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 21 7 5 9 29:39 26
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)