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Hafnarfjordur W vs Thor/KA W Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Flurey E.
Assist: Arnadottir A.
41' Event
Helgadottir H.
51'
Birgisdottir H.

AI Match Summary

Hafnarfjordur W in this Besta deild Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hafnarfjordur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hafnarfjordur W
15%
Draws
34%
Thor/KA W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hafnarfjordur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hafnarfjordur W lately — more wins on the board than Thor/KA W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 19%
Thor/KA W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur W Thor/KA W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.97 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Thor/KA W
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 League Cup Women
Thor/KA W vs Hafnarfjordur W
4:2
Aug 12, 2025 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Thor/KA W
5:3
Jun 12, 2025 Icelandic Cup Women
Thor/KA W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Helgadottir H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magnusdottir I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Thor/KA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Flurey E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur W 36 / 100
Thor/KA W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur W Thor/KA W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thor/KA W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hafnarfjordur W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Thor/KA W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Thor/KA W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur W VS Thor/KA W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur W

(Home)
27 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
3 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
23 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1
Thor/KA W
02 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol W
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Thor/KA W

(Away)
25 Sept
Thor/KA W
1 : 2
Fram W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1
Thor/KA W
29 Aug
Throttur W
0 : 0
Thor/KA W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)