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Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hafnarfjordur W host Throttur W in the Besta deild Women. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Hafnarfjordur W at 2.67 goals for, 1.63 against; Throttur W at 2.07 for, 1.79 against. Head-to-head, Hafnarfjordur W have won 3 to Throttur W's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2026, ending 7:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.63, favoring Hafnarfjordur W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hafnarfjordur W
15%
Draws
46%
Throttur W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hafnarfjordur W lately — more wins on the board than Throttur W.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 14%
Throttur W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur W Throttur W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.67 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
7:3
Apr 30, 2026 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Hafnarfjordur W
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 League Cup Women
Throttur W vs Hafnarfjordur W
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
4:0
Aug 28, 2025 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur W 35 / 100
Throttur W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur W Throttur W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hafnarfjordur W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Throttur W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Hafnarfjordur W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur W VS Throttur W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur W

(Home)
04 Oct
Hafnarfjordur W
5 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
30 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt W
4 : 1
Hafnarfjordur W
27 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
3 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
23 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
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Throttur W

(Away)
04 Oct
Breidablik W
5 : 4
Throttur W
27 Sept
Throttur W
5 : 1
Stjarnan W
18 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
4 : 3
Throttur W
12 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 2
Throttur W
07 Sept
Throttur W
1 : 1
Breidablik W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 21 15 1 5 57:27 46
2 Hafnarfjordur W 21 13 4 4 64:35 43
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 22 9 3 10 37:46 30
4 Grindavik/Njardvik W 22 8 5 9 31:40 29
5 Stjarnan W 21 7 6 8 32:33 27
6 Throttur W 21 7 5 9 36:37 26
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)