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Haguenau vs St. Maur Lusitanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mazroui A.
10' Event
Diarra L.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group A game between Haguenau and St. Maur Lusitanos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Haguenau
35%
Draws
58%
St. Maur Lusitanos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Maur Lusitanos's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Haguenau have produced (1.23).
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on St. Maur Lusitanos taking it.
  • Regular National 1 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Haguenau Clean Sheet 13%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haguenau St. Maur Lusitanos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.23 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Haguenau vs St. Maur Lusitanos
1:1
Mar 25, 2023 National 1 - Group B
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Haguenau
1:2
Oct 22, 2022 National 1 - Group B
Haguenau vs St. Maur Lusitanos
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 National 1 - Group B
Haguenau vs St. Maur Lusitanos
0:0
Dec 4, 2021 National 1 - Group B
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Haguenau
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haguenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazroui A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haguenau 10 / 100
St. Maur Lusitanos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haguenau St. Maur Lusitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Maur Lusitanos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Haguenau found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Haguenau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haguenau VS St. Maur Lusitanos
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Haguenau

(Home)
07 Nov
Haguenau
0 : 2
Colmar
31 Oct
Creteil
7 : 0
Haguenau
17 Oct
Haguenau
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
03 Oct
Furiani Agliani
5 : 1
Haguenau
19 Sept
Haguenau
0 : 1
Borgo
Page 1 of 6

St. Maur Lusitanos

(Away)
07 Nov
St. Maur Lusitanos
3 : 1
Feignies-Aulnoye
31 Oct
Colmar
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
17 Oct
Haguenau
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
03 Oct
St. Maur Lusitanos
3 : 1
Borgo
19 Sept
Racing Club de France
0 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chambly 9 7 0 2 17:9 21
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 9 5 4 0 15:8 19
3 Furiani Agliani 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
4 Creteil 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
5 Racing Club de France 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
6 Feignies-Aulnoye 9 4 4 1 8:6 16
7 Biesheim 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
8 Borgo 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
9 USLPV 9 2 3 4 15:15 9
10 Epinal 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
11 Colmar 9 2 3 4 7:13 9
12 Dieppe 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 Haguenau 9 2 1 6 7:19 7
14 Montlouis 9 1 3 5 8:18 6
15 Saint-Pryve 8 0 5 3 9:12 5
16 Chantilly 8 0 2 6 6:22 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)