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Hai Phong vs Thanh Hoa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Lạch Tray Stadium, Haiphong
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hai Phong host Thanh Hoa in the V.League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Hai Phong at 1.41 goals for, 1.45 against; Thanh Hoa at 1 for, 1.55 against. Head-to-head, Hai Phong have won 2 to Thanh Hoa's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.50) point toward Hai Phong. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Hai Phong
15%
Draws
36%
Thanh Hoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hai Phong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Hai Phong carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hai Phong are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular V.League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hai Phong Clean Sheet 16%
Thanh Hoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hai Phong Thanh Hoa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 V.League 1
Hai Phong vs Thanh Hoa
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Hai Phong
2:2
May 16, 2025 V.League 1
Hai Phong vs Thanh Hoa
2:1
Mar 4, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Thanh Hoa vs Hai Phong
0:1
Sep 30, 2024 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Hai Phong
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hai Phong 57 / 100
Thanh Hoa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hai Phong Thanh Hoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hai Phong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thanh Hoa has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Hai Phong scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Thanh Hoa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hai Phong VS Thanh Hoa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hai Phong

(Home)
20 Sept
Hai Phong
0 : 1
Thep Can Tho
13 Sept
Gia Lai
1 : 3
Hai Phong
05 Sept
Hai Phong
1 : 4
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
07 Jun
Hai Phong
1 : 1
Nam Dinh
31 May
PVF-CAND
3 : 1
Hai Phong
Page 1 of 6

Thanh Hoa

(Away)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
06 Sept
Thanh Hoa
3 : 2
Da Nang
07 Jun
Da Nang
4 : 0
Thanh Hoa
31 May
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Song Lam Nghe An 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Da Nang 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
5 Nam Dinh 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
6 Ho Chi Minh 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Viettel 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Thanh Hoa 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Bac Ninh 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Hai Phong 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
11 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Hanoi FC 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
13 Gia Lai 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)