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Haiti U20 vs Suriname U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2020
Mon, Jun 22, 2020
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haiti U20 play Suriname U20 in the CONCACAF Championship U20 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Haiti U20 averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Suriname U20 averaged 2.27 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, Haiti U20 won 1, Suriname U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 21, 2022 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Haiti U20 and 2.44 for Suriname U20. This points to a Haiti U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Haiti U20
15%
Draws
41%
Suriname U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Haiti U20 picked up more points recently compared to Suriname U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Haiti U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Suriname U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haiti U20 Suriname U20
Matches Played 27 22
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 1
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.15 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U20
Suriname U20 vs Haiti U20
0:3
Jun 22, 2020 CONCACAF Championship U20
Haiti U20 vs Suriname U20
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haiti U20 42 / 100
Suriname U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haiti U20 Suriname U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Haiti U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Haiti U20 attacking → ← attacking Suriname U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haiti U20 scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Suriname U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Haiti U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Suriname U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 34
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50