Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Haiti vs Costa Rica

World World

World Championship 2026 Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Pierrot F.
Assist: Providence R.
46'
Sub
Vargas K. In: Ugalde M.
Out: Vargas K.
47'
Jean Jacques D.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Haiti and Costa Rica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haiti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Haiti
15%
Draws
21%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Costa Rica haven't matched Haiti's recent run of results.
  • Haiti are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Haiti Clean Sheet 68%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haiti Costa Rica
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.47 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Haiti vs Costa Rica
2:0
Nov 14, 2025 World Championship
Haiti vs Costa Rica
1:0
Sep 10, 2025 World Championship
Costa Rica vs Haiti
3:3
Nov 17, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Costa Rica vs Haiti
1:1
Oct 11, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Haiti vs Costa Rica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haiti Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierrot F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Costa Rica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haiti 50 / 100
Costa Rica 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haiti Costa Rica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haiti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haiti's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Costa Rica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Costa Rica's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Haiti VS Costa Rica
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Haiti

(Home)
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
Page 1 of 7

Costa Rica

(Away)
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
10 Jun
England
3 : 0
Costa Rica
01 Jun
Colombia
3 : 1
Costa Rica
31 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 5
Iran
27 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2
Costa Rica
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Suriname 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Guatemala 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 El Salvador 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 3 3 0 13:3 12
2 Jamaica 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Trinidad & Tobago 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
4 Bermuda 6 0 1 5 4:23 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
2 Honduras 6 2 3 1 5:2 9
3 Costa Rica 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Nicaragua 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)