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Hajduk Split vs Ajax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Conference League Stadion Poljud, Split
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Sanyang A.
Assist: Soticek M.
45'
del Moral A.
53' Event
Klaassen D.
Assist: Kehrer T.

AI Match Summary

The Conference League game between Hajduk Split and Ajax finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hajduk Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hajduk Split
20%
Draws
32%
Ajax
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hajduk Split carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 11%
Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajduk Split Ajax
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.07 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2026 Conference League
Hajduk Split vs Ajax
2:1
Jan 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Ajax vs Hajduk Split
0:0
Mar 15, 1995 Champions League
Ajax vs Hajduk Split
3:0
Mar 1, 1995 Champions League
Hajduk Split vs Ajax
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanyang A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soticek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Klaassen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 30 / 100
Ajax 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajduk Split Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hajduk Split found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Ajax's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Hajduk Split went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS Ajax
1.75 Goals Scored 3
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)
18 Oct
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Varazdin
15 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Ajax
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
Page 1 of 6

Ajax

(Away)
18 Oct
Groningen
2 : 5
Ajax
15 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Ajax
10 Oct
Ajax
1 : 1
Nijmegen
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 FC Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Trabzonspor 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Mjallby 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 St. Truiden 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
7 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
8 Lugano 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
9 Monaco 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
10 Hajduk Split 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Panathinaikos 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Brann 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Gent 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
14 Twente 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Getafe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
16 Midtjylland 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
17 Nordsjaelland 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
18 Kairat Almaty 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 Hearts 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 KF Egnatia 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
21 Univ. Craiova 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
22 Riga FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
23 Jablonec 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
24 Crvena zvezda 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Ajax 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Borac Banja Luka 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Lincoln Red Imps 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
28 CSKA Sofia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
29 Aarhus 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
30 Thun 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
31 KuPS 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
32 Pafos 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
33 Inter Escaldes 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
34 Iberia 1999 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
35 Braga 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)