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Hajduk Split vs Din. Zagreb Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Poljud, Split
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hajduk Split host Din. Zagreb in the HNL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Hajduk Split have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Din. Zagreb's 2.8 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Hajduk Split have won 0 to Din. Zagreb's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.00 - 1.25) back Din. Zagreb to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hajduk Split
15%
Draws
39%
Din. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hajduk Split a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Din. Zagreb here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 19%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajduk Split Din. Zagreb
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 21
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 2.03 2.8
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Din. Zagreb
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Din. Zagreb
0:2
May 3, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Din. Zagreb
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 49 / 100
Din. Zagreb 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajduk Split Din. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hajduk Split scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hajduk Split stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Din. Zagreb conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS Din. Zagreb
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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Din. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)