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Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Poljud, Split
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hajduk Split host HNK Gorica in the HNL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Hajduk Split at 2.03 goals for, 1.07 against; HNK Gorica at 1.21 for, 1.41 against. Past meetings favor Hajduk Split slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.00 - 0.81) back Hajduk Split to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hajduk Split
30%
Draws
30%
HNK Gorica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Hajduk Split carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hajduk Split are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hajduk Split here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 20%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajduk Split HNK Gorica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 49 / 100
HNK Gorica 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajduk Split HNK Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hajduk Split's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

HNK Gorica has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Hajduk Split has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS HNK Gorica
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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HNK Gorica

(Away)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)