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Hajduk Split vs Lok. Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Poljud, Split
Hajduk Split Logo

Hajduk Split

2 - 0
FT
Lok. Zagreb Logo

Lok. Zagreb

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sego M.
Assist: Hrgovic S.
21'
Smiljanic P.
46'
Sub
Thaqi D. In: Kayke
Out: Thaqi D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hajduk Split in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hajduk Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Hajduk Split
15%
Draws
21%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hajduk Split lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Zagreb.
  • Hajduk Split are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hajduk Split here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajduk Split Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.03 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Lok. Zagreb
2:0
May 16, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Lok. Zagreb
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
1:3
Sep 27, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Lok. Zagreb
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Sego M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soticek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 40 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajduk Split Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hajduk Split found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Lok. Zagreb has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hajduk Split remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS Lok. Zagreb
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
11 Oct
Lok. Zagreb
0 : 1
Varazdin
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
2 Varazdin 9 5 3 1 14:7 18
3 Din. Zagreb 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
4 Osijek 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
5 Rijeka 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
6 Istra 1961 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
7 Slaven Belupo 9 3 1 5 11:17 10
8 Lok. Zagreb 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 Rudes 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
10 HNK Gorica 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)