Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Poljud, Split
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Pajaziti A.
20'
Isasegi K.
22' Event
de Almeida D.
Assist: Sanyang A.

AI Match Summary

The HNL game between Hajduk Split and Slaven Belupo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hajduk Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Hajduk Split
15%
Draws
31%
Slaven Belupo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hajduk Split come out ahead of Slaven Belupo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hajduk Split a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 16%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajduk Split Slaven Belupo
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 20 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.16 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer de Almeida D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Slaven Belupo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 75 / 100
Slaven Belupo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajduk Split Slaven Belupo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hajduk Split scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Slaven Belupo has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hajduk Split has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS Slaven Belupo
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
Page 1 of 7

Slaven Belupo

(Away)
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
30 Aug
Osijek
3 : 0
Slaven Belupo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)