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Stadium Background

Hajduk Split vs St. Truiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Stadion Poljud, Split
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hajduk Split host St. Truiden in the Conference League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Hajduk Split have averaged 2.17 scored and 1 conceded recently, against St. Truiden's 1.76 scored and 1.38 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.75 - 1.25) back Hajduk Split to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hajduk Split
20%
Draws
33%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hajduk Split lately — more wins on the board than St. Truiden.
  • Model gives Hajduk Split a 47% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 19%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajduk Split St. Truiden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.17 1.76
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 58 / 100
St. Truiden 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajduk Split St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hajduk Split scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

St. Truiden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Hajduk Split has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Truiden's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS St. Truiden
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)
05 Nov
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 0
Hajduk Split
31 Oct
Hajduk Split
5 : 0
HNK Gorica
26 Oct
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Hajduk Split
22 Oct
Thun
0 : 1
Hajduk Split
18 Oct
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Varazdin
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St. Truiden

(Away)
05 Nov
St. Truiden
1 : 1
Brann
01 Nov
St. Truiden
1 : 2
Leuven
25 Oct
Club Brugge
3 : 2
St. Truiden
22 Oct
Midtjylland
0 : 1
St. Truiden
18 Oct
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
3 Twente 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
4 Monaco 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
5 Brighton 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
6 Brann 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
7 FC Copenhagen 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
8 Univ. Craiova 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
9 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 St. Truiden 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
11 Ajax 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
14 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
15 Crvena zvezda 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
16 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
17 Braga 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
18 Gent 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
19 Riga FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
20 Thun 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
23 Jablonec 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
24 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
25 Nordsjaelland 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
26 KF Egnatia 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
30 Pafos 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
31 Getafe 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
32 Hearts 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
33 KuPS 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
34 Midtjylland 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
35 Inter Escaldes 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)