Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hajduk Split vs Vukovar 1991

Croatia Croatia

HNL 2025/2026 Stadion Poljud, Split
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Banovec L.
Assist: Gonzalez R.
9' Event
Brajkovic R.
Assist: Almena I.
16' Event
Sego M.

AI Match Summary

The HNL 2025/2026 game between Hajduk Split and Vukovar 1991 finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hajduk Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hajduk Split
15%
Draws
34%
Vukovar 1991
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vukovar 1991 haven't matched Hajduk Split's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Hajduk Split taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hajduk Split have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 16%
Vukovar 1991 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajduk Split Vukovar 1991
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Vukovar 1991
6:3
Mar 21, 2026 HNL
Vukovar 1991 vs Hajduk Split
0:6
Dec 21, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Vukovar 1991
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 HNL
Vukovar 1991 vs Hajduk Split
0:1
Mar 31, 2000 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Vukovar 1991
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Sego M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brajkovic R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Vukovar 1991 Compare

Top Goalscorer Banovec L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gurlica J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 84 / 100
Vukovar 1991 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajduk Split Vukovar 1991

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hajduk Split scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Hajduk Split remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Vukovar 1991 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS Vukovar 1991
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
27 Aug
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Hajduk Split
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Vukovar 1991

(Away)
13 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
2 : 3
Vukovar 1991
09 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 0
Cibalia
05 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 1
Cibalia
02 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 6
Dinamo Zagreb 2
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 36 27 5 4 93:28 86
2 Hajduk Split 36 20 8 8 61:36 68
3 Varazdin 36 15 9 12 47:46 54
4 Rijeka 36 14 11 11 49:36 53
5 Lok. Zagreb 36 10 14 12 40:52 44
6 Istra 1961 36 12 7 17 39:50 43
7 Slaven Belupo 36 10 11 15 46:61 41
8 HNK Gorica 36 11 8 17 40:48 41
9 Osijek 36 8 11 17 27:49 35
10 Vukovar 1991 36 6 10 20 37:73 28
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL (Main)