Sport Picks

Croatia

HNL 2025/2026 Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split

6 - 3

Vukovar 1991

Our Tip

Match Events

Banovec L.

Assist: Gonzalez R.

Brajkovic R.

Assist: Almena I.

16'

Sego M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The HNL 2025/2026 game between Hajduk Split and Vukovar 1991 finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hajduk Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Hajduk Split

Draws

Vukovar 1991

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Vukovar 1991 haven't matched Hajduk Split's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Hajduk Split taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Hajduk Split have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 19%

Vukovar 1991 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hajduk Split	Vukovar 1991
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	19	7
Draws	5	8
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.63	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 HNL

Hajduk Split vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

6:3

Mar 21, 2026 HNL

Vukovar 1991 vs Hajduk Split

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

0:6

Dec 21, 2025 HNL

Hajduk Split vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 45% - 60% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Oct 4, 2025 HNL

Vukovar 1991 vs Hajduk Split

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Mar 31, 2000 HNL

Hajduk Split vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Sego M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Brajkovic R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Vukovar 1991 Compare

Top Goalscorer Banovec L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gurlica J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 85 / 100

Vukovar 1991 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hajduk Split Vukovar 1991

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAJ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hajduk Split scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Vukovar 1991 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Hajduk Split remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS Vukovar 1991

1.63 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Zagreb	36	27	5	4	93:28	86
2	Hajduk Split	36	20	8	8	61:36	68
3	Varazdin	36	15	9	12	47:46	54
4	Rijeka	36	14	11	11	49:36	53
5	Lok. Zagreb	36	10	14	12	40:52	44
6	Istra 1961	36	12	7	17	39:50	43
7	Slaven Belupo	36	10	11	15	46:61	41
8	HNK Gorica	36	11	8	17	40:48	41
9	Osijek	36	8	11	17	27:49	35
10	Vukovar 1991	36	6	10	20	37:73	28