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Halaba Ketema FC vs Fasil Kenema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Halaba Ketema FC host Fasil Kenema in the Premier League. Fasil Kenema are expected to control this from the start. Fasil Kenema have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while Halaba Ketema FC have conceded 1 and scored 1. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.63 - 0.44) back Fasil Kenema to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Halaba Ketema FC
25%
Draws
35%
Fasil Kenema
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Halaba Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fasil Kenema come out ahead of Halaba Ketema FC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Halaba Ketema FC Clean Sheet 20%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halaba Ketema FC Fasil Kenema
Matches Played 1 28
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 8
Losses 0 11
Goals Scored 1 0.68
Goals Conceded 1 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halaba Ketema FC 36 / 100
Fasil Kenema 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halaba Ketema FC Fasil Kenema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fasil Kenema Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halaba Ketema FC found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (1 games).

Fasil Kenema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Halaba Ketema FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fasil Kenema's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Halaba Ketema FC VS Fasil Kenema
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Halaba Ketema FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat

Fasil Kenema

(Away)
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0
Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0
Arba Menche
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1
Fasil Kenema
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1
Sheger Ketema FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 St. Georges 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Welayta Dicha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Fasil Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)