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Halcones de Zapopan vs Ciervos Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
44' Event
65' Event

AI Match Summary

Halcones de Zapopan in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Halcones de Zapopan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Halcones de Zapopan
20%
Draws
30%
Ciervos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Halcones de Zapopan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Halcones de Zapopan have won more games recently than Ciervos.
  • Win probability leans Halcones de Zapopan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Halcones de Zapopan Clean Sheet 68%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halcones de Zapopan Ciervos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.67 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Ciervos
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Halcones de Zapopan
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halcones de Zapopan 95 / 100
Ciervos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halcones de Zapopan Ciervos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halcones de Zapopan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciervos has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Halcones de Zapopan's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Halcones de Zapopan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Halcones de Zapopan VS Ciervos
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Halcones de Zapopan

(Home)
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
25 Apr
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 2
Halcones de Zapopan
22 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Racing de Veracruz
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 6

Ciervos

(Away)
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
29 Aug
Ciervos
0 : 2
Dragones de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)