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Halcones Negros vs Calor De San Pedro

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Halcones Negros host Calor De San Pedro in the Liga Premier Serie A. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Calor De San Pedro have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Halcones Negros have conceded 1 and scored 1.25. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.75 - 1.02) back Calor De San Pedro to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Halcones Negros
22%
Draws
35%
Calor De San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Halcones Negros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Halcones Negros haven't matched Calor De San Pedro's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Halcones Negros's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Halcones Negros Clean Sheet 20%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halcones Negros Calor De San Pedro
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 1 12
Draws 1 9
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.32
Goals Conceded 1 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halcones Negros 40 / 100
Calor De San Pedro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halcones Negros Calor De San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halcones Negros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Halcones Negros scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

Calor De San Pedro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Calor De San Pedro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Solid form: Halcones Negros remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Halcones Negros VS Calor De San Pedro
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.5
60% Over 1.5 38%
60% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Halcones Negros

(Home)
19 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
13 Sept
Halcones Negros
3 : 0
Guerreros del Pacifico
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
30 Aug
Halcones Negros
0 : 0
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos

Calor De San Pedro

(Away)
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
18 Apr
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1
Calor De San Pedro
16 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
0 : 1
Deportiva Venados
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 4 3 0 1 11:4 10
2 Mineros de Fresnillo 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
3 Zapotlanejo 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Vaqueros 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
5 FC Santiago 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
6 Saltillo 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
7 Apodaca 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
8 Guerreros de Autlan 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
9 Correcaminos 2 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
10 Heroes de Zaci 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 4 4 0 0 10:2 13
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 4 3 1 0 8:2 11
3 Acambaro 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
4 Real Refineros 4 2 1 1 4:4 6
5 Calor De San Pedro 3 1 1 1 4:3 5
6 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 4 1 1 2 5:5 5
7 Halcones Negros 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
8 Guerreros del Pacifico 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
9 Ciervos 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
10 Canoneros FC 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)