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Halesowen vs Alvechurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Halesowen host Alvechurch in the Southern League Premier Central. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Halesowen have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Alvechurch's 1.66 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Halesowen slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 18, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.19) back Alvechurch to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Halesowen
30%
Draws
31%
Alvechurch
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Halesowen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Alvechurch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Halesowen Clean Sheet 20%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halesowen Alvechurch
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Halesowen vs Alvechurch
2:0
Sep 9, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Halesowen
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Halesowen vs Alvechurch
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Halesowen
1:0
Apr 1, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Halesowen vs Alvechurch
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halesowen 32 / 100
Alvechurch 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halesowen Alvechurch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Halesowen scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Alvechurch let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Halesowen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Halesowen VS Alvechurch
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Halesowen

(Home)
06 Oct
Halesowen
1 : 2
Stafford
03 Oct
Stafford
1 : 1
Halesowen
29 Sept
Halesowen
1 : 0
Rushall
26 Sept
Halesowen
2 : 0
Wellingborough
19 Sept
Halesowen
2 : 0
Mickleover
Page 1 of 6

Alvechurch

(Away)
03 Oct
Cambridge City
1 : 2
Alvechurch
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2
Bourne
22 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 2
Alvechurch
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)