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Halesowen vs Harborough

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Cowley J.
48' Event
Kennedy C.
61' Event
O’Sullivan R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Harborough in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Halesowen
39%
Draws
30%
Harborough
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Harborough have won more games recently than Halesowen.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Halesowen Clean Sheet 15%
Harborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halesowen Harborough
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Halesowen vs Harborough
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Harborough vs Halesowen
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Harborough vs Halesowen
1:1
Sep 24, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Halesowen vs Harborough
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halesowen Compare

Top Goalscorer Cowley J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Harborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Kennedy C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McLean R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halesowen 31 / 100
Harborough 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halesowen Harborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Halesowen scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Harborough let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Halesowen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Halesowen VS Harborough
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Halesowen

(Home)
28 Jul
Halesowen
3 : 3
Stourbridge
25 Jul
Halesowen
2 : 2
Tamworth
18 Jul
Halesowen
0 : 2
Kidderminster
29 Apr
Spalding United
1 : 0
Halesowen
25 Apr
Halesowen
5 : 0
Sudbury
Page 1 of 7

Harborough

(Away)
25 Jul
Quorn
2 : 2
Harborough
11 Jul
Real Bedford
4 : 4
Harborough
25 Apr
Stamford
0 : 0
Harborough
18 Apr
Harborough
1 : 1
Stortford
11 Apr
Halesowen
1 : 3
Harborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harborough422811381:3395
2Spalding United4225107103:5485
3Real Bedford42249984:4781
4Kettering422191274:5272
5Halesowen4220101285:6070
6Needham Market4220101264:5370
7Redditch422171467:5870
8Quorn421981578:7165
9Worcester4217121364:4463
10Leiston4216151165:5863
11Stratford4217101561:5461
12Banbury421791651:5660
13Bury Town4215131461:5358
14Alvechurch421482049:5550
15Stourbridge4212141658:6850
16Stortford4213101953:6749
17Stamford421382141:6447
18Bromsgrove421282252:7344
19St Ives Town429122150:7339
20Barwell42982552:8535
21Royston Town425102735:8225
22Sudbury42672947:11525
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)