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Halifax vs Carlisle

England England

National League 2025/2026 The Shay, Halifax
Our Tip

Match Events

65'
Galvin R.
68' Event
Linney R.
Assist: Ellis J.
73'
Ajiboye D.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Halifax and Carlisle finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carlisle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Halifax
15%
Draws
37%
Carlisle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Halifax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Carlisle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Halifax are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carlisle have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Halifax Clean Sheet 10%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halifax Carlisle
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.64 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 National League
Halifax vs Carlisle
0:1
Nov 4, 2025 National League
Carlisle vs Halifax
2:0
Jul 30, 2021 Club Friendly
Carlisle vs Halifax
3:0
Mar 28, 2005 National League
Carlisle vs Halifax
1:0
Aug 31, 2004 National League
Halifax vs Carlisle
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halifax Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Carlisle Compare

Top Goalscorer Linney R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halifax 34 / 100
Carlisle 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halifax Carlisle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halifax found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Carlisle has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Halifax has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Halifax VS Carlisle
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Halifax

(Home)
15 Aug
Halifax
1 : 3
Boreham Wood
08 Aug
Forest Green
3 : 2
Halifax
01 Aug
Curzon Ashton
0 : 1
Halifax
28 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 3
Halifax
25 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Carlisle

(Away)
15 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 1
Carlisle
08 Aug
Carlisle
2 : 3
Worthing FC
01 Aug
Derby U21
0 : 3
Carlisle
28 Jul
Carlisle
0 : 2
Salford
21 Jul
Darlington FC
2 : 4
Carlisle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 York City 46 33 9 4 114:41 108
2 Rochdale 46 33 7 6 88:41 106
3 Carlisle 46 29 8 9 87:51 95
4 Boreham Wood 46 27 9 10 95:58 90
5 Scunthorpe 46 23 13 10 77:62 82
6 Southend 46 23 12 11 83:47 81
7 Forest Green 46 23 12 11 82:52 81
8 Halifax 46 20 10 16 69:66 70
9 Hartlepool 46 18 14 14 54:59 68
10 Woking 46 16 15 15 69:54 63
11 Tamworth 46 17 11 18 63:71 62
12 Boston United 46 15 14 17 63:67 59
13 Altrincham 46 17 6 23 55:65 57
14 Solihull Moors 46 14 14 18 71:72 56
15 Wealdstone 46 15 11 20 67:74 56
16 Yeovil 46 15 6 25 48:68 51
17 Eastleigh 46 13 11 22 57:80 50
18 Gateshead 46 14 8 24 54:90 50
19 Sutton 46 11 14 21 59:79 47
20 Aldershot 46 13 7 26 69:87 46
21 Brackley 46 10 12 24 40:75 42
22 Morecambe 46 9 11 26 66:103 38
23 Braintree 46 8 12 26 38:76 36
24 Truro 46 8 10 28 42:72 34
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)