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Halifax vs Gateshead

England England

National League The Shay, Halifax
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Halifax host Gateshead in the National League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Halifax have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Gateshead's 1.1 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Halifax have won 3 to Gateshead's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 0.63, favoring Halifax. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Halifax
20%
Draws
0%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Halifax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Halifax come out ahead of Gateshead on wins alone.
  • Model gives Halifax a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Halifax Clean Sheet 20%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halifax Gateshead
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 National League
Halifax vs Gateshead
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Halifax
1:2
Jan 14, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Halifax
1:3
Aug 20, 2024 National League
Halifax vs Gateshead
1:1
Dec 16, 2023 National League
Gateshead vs Halifax
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halifax 85 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halifax Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halifax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halifax scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Gateshead lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Gateshead has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Halifax VS Gateshead
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Halifax

(Home)
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Halifax
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
12 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0
Hornchurch
Page 1 of 6

Gateshead

(Away)
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1
Altrincham
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
4 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
15 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
21 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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