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Halifax vs Hartlepool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League The Shay, Halifax
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Johnson C.
38'
Miley J.
39'
Trusty T.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Halifax and Hartlepool finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Halifax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Halifax
15%
Draws
39%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Halifax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Halifax come out ahead of Hartlepool on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Halifax taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Halifax Clean Sheet 19%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halifax Hartlepool
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 0
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 2.24 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 National League
Halifax vs Hartlepool
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Halifax
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 National League
Halifax vs Hartlepool
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 National League
Halifax vs Hartlepool
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Halifax
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halifax Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugill W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Hartlepool Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halifax 58 / 100
Hartlepool 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halifax Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halifax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halifax scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Hartlepool let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Halifax remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Hartlepool lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Halifax VS Hartlepool
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Halifax

(Home)
03 Nov
Halifax
3 : 4
Nottingham U21
31 Oct
Halifax
2 : 0
Yeovil
27 Oct
Halifax
2 : 3
Barrow
24 Oct
Southend
2 : 2
Halifax
17 Oct
Halifax
3 : 2
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

Hartlepool

(Away)
03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1
Leeds U21
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3
Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1
Hartlepool
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1
Hornchurch
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2
Marine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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