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Stadium Background

Halifax vs Hartlepool

England England

National League The Shay, Halifax
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Johnson C.
38'
Miley J.
39'
Trusty T.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Halifax and Hartlepool finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Halifax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Halifax
15%
Draws
21%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Halifax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Hartlepool have managed 1.33 goals a game lately — Halifax are scoring more at 1.86.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Halifax taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Halifax Clean Sheet 20%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halifax Hartlepool
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 National League
Halifax vs Hartlepool
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Halifax
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 National League
Halifax vs Hartlepool
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 National League
Halifax vs Hartlepool
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Halifax
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halifax Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugill W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Hartlepool Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halifax 85 / 100
Hartlepool 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halifax Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halifax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halifax scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Hartlepool let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Halifax remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Hartlepool lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Halifax VS Hartlepool
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Halifax

(Home)
01 Sept
Halifax
1 : 0
Hartlepool
28 Aug
Altrincham
2 : 1
Halifax
22 Aug
Halifax
4 : 1
Tamworth
18 Aug
Halifax
6 : 2
Derby U21
15 Aug
Halifax
1 : 3
Boreham Wood
Page 1 of 6

Hartlepool

(Away)
01 Sept
Halifax
1 : 0
Hartlepool
28 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Eastleigh
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1
Hartlepool
15 Aug
Aldershot
0 : 1
Hartlepool
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 5 4 1 0 14:7 13
2 Sutton 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
3 Hornchurch 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
4 Yeovil 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
5 Harrogate 5 3 1 1 13:9 10
6 AFC Fylde 5 3 1 1 11:7 10
7 Southend 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
8 Eastleigh 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
9 Carlisle 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
10 Aldershot 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
11 Kidderminster 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
12 Halifax 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
13 Boston United 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
14 Hartlepool 5 2 0 3 4:4 6
15 Worthing FC 5 2 0 3 9:10 6
16 Altrincham 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
17 Forest Green 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
18 Wealdstone 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
19 Scunthorpe 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
20 Tamworth 5 1 1 3 10:14 4
21 Woking 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
22 Gateshead 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
23 Barrow 5 0 2 3 5:9 2
24 Solihull Moors 5 0 0 5 5:16 0
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