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Halifax vs Newcastle Utd U21

England England

National League Cup The Shay, Halifax
Tue, Dec 16, 2025
1 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
McArthur C.
59'
Sub
Munda A. In: Harrison A.
Out: Munda A.
62'
Sub
Wright M. In: Harris W.
Out: Wright M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Halifax advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Halifax
17%
Draws
13%
Newcastle Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Halifax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Halifax carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Halifax's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Halifax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Halifax Clean Sheet 18%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halifax Newcastle Utd U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2025 National League Cup
Halifax vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:0
Oct 1, 2024 National League Cup
Halifax vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halifax 67 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halifax Newcastle Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halifax's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Newcastle Utd U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Halifax has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Halifax VS Newcastle Utd U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Halifax

(Home)
01 Aug
Curzon Ashton
0 : 1
Halifax
28 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 3
Halifax
25 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Halifax
21 Jul
Gainsborough
2 : 3
Halifax
18 Jul
Avro
4 : 3
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 1
Wolves U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Mar
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 0
Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)