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Hallescher vs Greifswalder FC

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 Leuna Chemie Stadion
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Match Events

57' Event
Stierlin N.
86' Event
Hartmann F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Hallescher and Greifswalder FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hallescher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Hallescher
22%
Draws
60%
Greifswalder FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Greifswalder FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hallescher carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Greifswalder FC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hallescher here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hallescher Clean Sheet 10%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hallescher Greifswalder FC
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.63 3.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Hallescher vs Greifswalder FC
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Hallescher
0:2
May 18, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Hallescher
4:0
Nov 30, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Hallescher vs Greifswalder FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hallescher Compare

Top Goalscorer Stierlin N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hartmann F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Greifswalder FC Compare

Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hallescher 18 / 100
Greifswalder FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hallescher Greifswalder FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hallescher scored in 88% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Greifswalder FC conceded in 63% of 24 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Hallescher went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hallescher VS Greifswalder FC
1.63 Goals Scored 3.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914