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Ham-Kam U19 vs Lillestrom U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Blakkisrud V.
57' Event
de Lange J.
69' Event
Murat S. D.

AI Match Summary

The Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 game between Ham-Kam U19 and Lillestrom U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lillestrom U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ham-Kam U19
15%
Draws
57%
Lillestrom U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ham-Kam U19 haven't matched Lillestrom U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lillestrom U19 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Lillestrom U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Ham-Kam U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Lillestrom U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ham-Kam U19 Lillestrom U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 2.03 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Ham-Kam U19
4:0
Feb 8, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Ham-Kam U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Nasjonal U19 CL
Ham-Kam U19 vs Lillestrom U19
2:4
Feb 29, 2024 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Ham-Kam U19
4:2
Mar 12, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Ham-Kam U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ham-Kam U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Murat S. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Lillestrom U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Blakkisrud V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Lange J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ham-Kam U19 10 / 100
Lillestrom U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ham-Kam U19 Lillestrom U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ham-Kam U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Lillestrom U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ham-Kam U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ham-Kam U19 VS Lillestrom U19
3.63 Goals Scored 3.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ham-Kam U19

(Home)
27 Aug
Ham-Kam U19
0 : 3
Rosenborg U19
20 Aug
Rosenborg U19
6 : 1
Ham-Kam U19
05 Aug
Ham-Kam U19
5 : 1
Odds BK U19
30 Jul
Odds BK U19
2 : 5
Ham-Kam U19
22 Mar
Tromso U19
4 : 1
Ham-Kam U19
Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom U19

(Away)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odds BK U19 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
2 Haugesund U19 6 3 1 2 18:12 10
3 Viking U19 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
4 Start U19 6 1 1 4 8:19 4
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalesund U19 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Stabaek U19 6 2 2 2 14:11 8
3 Rosenborg U19 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
4 Molde U19 6 1 2 3 8:15 5
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tromso U19 6 5 0 1 20:8 15
2 Lillestrom U19 6 4 0 2 18:10 12
3 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 2 0 4 7:18 6
4 Ham-Kam U19 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valerenga U19 6 4 0 2 18:13 12
2 Brann U19 6 3 0 3 18:11 9
3 Stromsgodset U19 6 3 0 3 18:26 9
4 Sogndal U19 6 2 0 4 14:18 6
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)