Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ham-Kam vs Molde

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Abdullai J.
Assist: Odegard N.
6'
Abdullai J.
17'
Sub
Risa B. In: Dahl F.
Out: Risa B.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Ham-Kam and Molde finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ham-Kam
15%
Draws
67%
Molde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Molde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Molde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Molde here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 20%
Molde Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ham-Kam Molde
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Molde
1:5
Apr 12, 2026 Eliteserien
Molde vs Ham-Kam
4:1
Aug 9, 2025 Eliteserien
Molde vs Ham-Kam
1:0
May 25, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Molde
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Eliteserien
Molde vs Ham-Kam
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ham-Kam Compare

Top Goalscorer Ofkir M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone-Doherty T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullai J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ham-Kam 10 / 100
Molde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ham-Kam Molde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Ham-Kam's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Molde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Ham-Kam stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ham-Kam VS Molde
1.38 Goals Scored 4.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ham-Kam

(Home)
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
23 Aug
Trysil
0 : 5
Ham-Kam
16 Aug
Brann
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6

Molde

(Away)
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
22 Aug
Midsund
0 : 11
Molde
16 Aug
Molde
3 : 2
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 20 16 2 2 52:17 50
2 Viking 20 15 2 3 51:20 47
3 Molde 20 11 3 6 43:30 36
4 Tromso 20 10 5 5 37:27 35
5 Lillestrom 20 10 2 8 28:26 32
6 Rosenborg 20 9 3 8 36:29 30
7 Fredrikstad 20 8 3 9 24:31 27
8 Brann 20 8 2 10 37:31 26
9 Sarpsborg 08 20 6 7 7 23:26 25
10 Ham-Kam 20 6 5 9 27:41 23
11 Valerenga 20 6 4 10 33:42 22
12 KFUM Oslo 20 6 4 10 22:34 22
13 Sandefjord 20 5 5 10 18:27 20
14 Kristiansund 20 5 4 11 20:37 19
15 Aalesund 20 3 9 8 31:45 18
16 Start 20 4 4 12 22:41 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)