Sport Picks
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
Eliteserien Briskeby Arena, Hamar 
AI Match Summary
Ham-Kam host Sarpsborg 08 in the Eliteserien. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ham-Kam have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Sarpsborg 08's 1.3 scored and 1.44 conceded. Head-to-head, Ham-Kam have won 0 to Sarpsborg 08's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Ham-Kam. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Ham-Kam lately — more wins on the board than Sarpsborg 08.
- Model gives Ham-Kam a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sarpsborg 08 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ham-Kam | Sarpsborg 08 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Ham-Kam scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Sarpsborg 08's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Ham-Kam stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ham-Kam
(Home)Sarpsborg 08
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58:20 | 56 |
| 2 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59:22 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52:35 | 40 |
| 4 | Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 40 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32:31 | 36 |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 40:37 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28:36 | 29 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28:37 | 29 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:34 | 28 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 38:46 | 26 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 33:48 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22:30 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39:51 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23:47 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25:54 | 16 |
