Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ham-Kam vs Start

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Schulze E.
Assist: Strannegard T.
60'
Sub
Metcalfe P. In: Trondsen A.
Out: Metcalfe P.
60'
Sub
Jonsson V. In: Hoffmann I.
Out: Jonsson V.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Ham-Kam and Start finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ham-Kam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ham-Kam
15%
Draws
36%
Start
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ham-Kam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ham-Kam come out ahead of Start on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ham-Kam a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ham-Kam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 20%
Start Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ham-Kam Start
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Start
2:1
Feb 20, 2023 Club Friendly
Start vs Ham-Kam
2:1
Aug 29, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
Ham-Kam vs Start
3:2
Jul 5, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Ham-Kam
1:4
Sep 22, 2019 OBOS-ligaen
Ham-Kam vs Start
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ham-Kam Compare

Top Goalscorer Niang M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnsgard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Start Compare

Top Goalscorer Schulze E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ham-Kam 85 / 100
Start 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ham-Kam Start

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Start's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ham-Kam scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Start lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ham-Kam VS Start
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ham-Kam

(Home)
09 Aug
Ham-Kam
1 : 1
Aalesund
31 Jul
Valerenga
0 : 3
Ham-Kam
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

Start

(Away)
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
01 Aug
Start
0 : 3
Viking
25 Jul
Kristiansund
1 : 2
Start
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
12 Jul
Brann
2 : 1
Start
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 43:12 41
2 Viking 16 13 1 2 39:15 40
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 32:17 34
4 Lillestrom 15 8 1 6 22:18 25
5 Molde 15 7 3 5 28:22 24
6 Brann 16 7 1 8 33:27 22
7 Sarpsborg 08 16 6 4 6 19:21 22
8 Ham-Kam 15 6 3 6 23:26 21
9 Valerenga 16 6 2 8 23:29 20
10 Fredrikstad 16 6 2 8 17:27 20
11 Rosenborg 15 5 3 7 21:21 18
12 KFUM Oslo 16 5 3 8 18:26 18
13 Sandefjord 16 4 3 9 13:22 15
14 Aalesund 15 2 7 6 21:35 13
15 Kristiansund 15 3 3 9 13:25 12
16 Start 17 2 4 11 16:38 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)