Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ham-Kam W vs Aalesund W

Norway Norway

Division 1 Women 2025 Briskeby Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ham-Kam W play Aalesund W in the Division 1 Women 2025. Aalesund W are favorites here. Recently, Ham-Kam W averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. Aalesund W averaged 2.76 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Ham-Kam W won 0, Aalesund W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 14, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ham-Kam W and 1.00 for Aalesund W. This points to a Aalesund W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ham-Kam W
25%
Draws
60%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ham-Kam W picked up more points recently compared to Aalesund W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Ham-Kam W Clean Sheet 23%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ham-Kam W Aalesund W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 24
Draws 1 1
Losses 24 4
Goals Scored 0.73 2.76
Goals Conceded 2.57 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Division 1 Women
Aalesund W vs Ham-Kam W
4:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division 1 Women
Ham-Kam W vs Aalesund W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ham-Kam W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Skretting I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solskjaer K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ham-Kam W 18 / 100
Aalesund W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ham-Kam W Aalesund W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Aalesund W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ham-Kam W attacking → ← attacking Aalesund W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ham-Kam W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Aalesund W let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ham-Kam W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aalesund W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 73
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aalesund W22156154:1551
2Haugesund W22144453:2646
3Molde W22135454:3244
4Asane W22115640:2338
5Arna-Bjornar W22106642:3536
6Tromso W22751039:4526
7Fyllingsdalen W22751028:3826
8Start W2267923:3125
9Viking W22741130:4525
10Odds BK W22741129:4125
11Kil/Hemne W22361319:4615
12Ham-Kam W22311813:4710