Sport Picks
Hamam-Sousse vs Ben Guerdane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 Bou Ali Lahouar Stadium, Sousse 
AI Match Summary
Hamam-Sousse host Ben Guerdane in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ben Guerdane have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Hamam-Sousse have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Ben Guerdane slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 30, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Ben Guerdane to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Hamam-Sousse lately — more wins on the board than Ben Guerdane.
- Win probability leans Ben Guerdane's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ben Guerdane here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamam-Sousse | Ben Guerdane |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamam-Sousse scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ben Guerdane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Hamam-Sousse has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hamam-Sousse
(Home)Ben Guerdane
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Ben Guerdane | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 4 | CS Sfaxien | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Monastir | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 6 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 8 |
| 7 | Jeunesse Sportive | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 8 | CA Bizertin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 9 | Stade Tunisien | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Etoile Sahel | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Zarzis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 13 | Metlaoui | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Olympique Beja | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 15 | Hamam-Sousse | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 16 | Hammam-Lif | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:4 | 0 |
