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Hamam-Sousse vs Ben Guerdane

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ben Guerdane in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ben Guerdane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hamam-Sousse
30%
Draws
54%
Ben Guerdane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ben Guerdane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ben Guerdane haven't matched Hamam-Sousse's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ben Guerdane have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 20%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamam-Sousse Ben Guerdane
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.45 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Hamam-Sousse vs Ben Guerdane
0:1
Apr 10, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Ben Guerdane
1:1
Nov 18, 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Hamam-Sousse
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamam-Sousse 36 / 100
Ben Guerdane 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamam-Sousse Ben Guerdane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ben Guerdane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamam-Sousse scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ben Guerdane has conceded goals in 48% of their last 27 outings.

Hamam-Sousse went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamam-Sousse VS Ben Guerdane
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamam-Sousse

(Home)
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier
11 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 1
Hamam-Sousse
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Ben Guerdane

(Away)
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2
Ben Guerdane
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0
Ben Guerdane
03 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1
Soliman
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1
Ben Guerdane
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