Sport Picks
Hamam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 Bou Ali Lahouar Stadium, Sousse 
Match Events
36'
36'
Hmidi B.
38'
38'
Smari O.
45'
45'
Moussa J.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 game between Hamam-Sousse and Stade Tunisien finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Tunisien.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Tunisien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hamam-Sousse come out ahead of Stade Tunisien on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Stade Tunisien's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Stade Tunisien have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 23%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamam-Sousse | Stade Tunisien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien
1:3
May 21, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Hamam-Sousse
2:1
Apr 2, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien
1:2
Jan 18, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Hamam-Sousse
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamam-Sousse Compare
Top Goalscorer Smari O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Stade Tunisien Compare
Top Goalscorer Ben Youssef F.
1 Goals Assists Leader N'Diaye A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamam-Sousse 29 / 100
Stade Tunisien 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamam-Sousse Stade Tunisien
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stade Tunisien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hamam-Sousse scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Stade Tunisien let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.
Hamam-Sousse has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hamam-Sousse VS Stade Tunisien
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamam-Sousse
(Home) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 4
Stade Tunisien
(Away) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1 Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1 Stade Tunisien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
03 May
Club Africain
2 : 0 Stade Tunisien
26 Apr
CS Sfaxien
1 : 0 Stade Tunisien
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esperance Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 2 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 11 |
| 3 | Ben Guerdane | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 4 | Club Africain | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 5 | Monastir | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 7 | CA Bizertin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 8 |
| 8 | Jeunesse Sportive | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Stade Tunisien | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Etoile Sahel | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Zarzis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 13 | Metlaoui | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Olympique Beja | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 15 | Hamam-Sousse | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 16 | Hammam-Lif | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
