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Hamam-Sousse vs US Tataouine Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Houli I.
79' Event
Mani N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hamam-Sousse in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamam-Sousse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Hamam-Sousse
15%
Draws
76%
US Tataouine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Tataouine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to US Tataouine lately — more wins on the board than Hamam-Sousse.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 23%
US Tataouine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamam-Sousse US Tataouine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs US Tataouine
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Ligue 2
US Tataouine vs Hamam-Sousse
1:2
Jan 30, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
US Tataouine vs Hamam-Sousse
2:0
Oct 29, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs US Tataouine
0:0
Apr 18, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
US Tataouine vs Hamam-Sousse
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamam-Sousse Compare

Top Goalscorer Houli I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

US Tataouine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamam-Sousse 37 / 100
US Tataouine 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamam-Sousse US Tataouine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Tataouine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamam-Sousse scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: US Tataouine conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Hamam-Sousse went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamam-Sousse VS US Tataouine
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamam-Sousse

(Home)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 6

US Tataouine

(Away)
26 Sept
Soliman
4 : 1
US Tataouine
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
EM Mahdia
0 : 1
US Tataouine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)