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Hamangia Baia vs Sutesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024 game between Hamangia Baia and Sutesti finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamangia Baia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hamangia Baia
15%
Draws
57%
Sutesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamangia Baia come out ahead of Sutesti on wins alone.
  • Hamangia Baia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Hamangia Baia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hamangia Baia Clean Sheet 10%
Sutesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamangia Baia Sutesti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 3.55 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sutesti vs Hamangia Baia
0:3
Apr 27, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Hamangia Baia vs Sutesti
4:3
Nov 18, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Hamangia Baia vs Sutesti
4:2
Sep 16, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sutesti vs Hamangia Baia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamangia Baia 40 / 100
Sutesti 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamangia Baia Sutesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutesti has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Sutesti's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hamangia Baia scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamangia Baia VS Sutesti
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamangia Baia

(Home)
31 Jul
Hamangia Baia
0 : 3
Braila
25 May
Sutesti
0 : 3
Hamangia Baia
18 May
Hamangia Baia
0 : 3
Braila
11 May
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
3 : 1
Hamangia Baia
08 May
Hamangia Baia
0 : 3
Viitorul Ianca
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Sutesti

(Away)
31 Jul
Sutesti
0 : 3
Viitorul Ianca
25 May
Sutesti
0 : 3
Hamangia Baia
18 May
Viitorul Ianca
0 : 1
Sutesti
11 May
Sutesti
0 : 2
Braila
08 May
Vointa Limpezis
0 : 5
Sutesti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metalul Buzau 18 16 1 1 66:6 49
2 CSM Focsani 18 14 0 4 58:16 42
3 Sporting Liesti 18 11 2 5 39:28 35
4 Unirea Branistea 18 9 3 6 41:27 30
5 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 18 9 2 7 47:34 29
6 Braila 18 7 1 10 26:36 22
7 Hamangia Baia 18 6 1 11 23:72 19
8 Vointa Limpezis 18 4 3 11 24:47 15
9 Viitorul Ianca 18 4 2 12 23:37 14
10 Sutesti 18 2 1 15 14:58 7
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)