Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamar vs Reynir

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Misura T.
28' Event
Hardarson H.
41' Event
Thorsteinsson T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Reynir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hamar
15%
Draws
85%
Reynir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reynir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Reynir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Reynir a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Reynir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Reynir, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Reynir have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hamar Clean Sheet 10%
Reynir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamar Reynir
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 10 11
Draws 0 3
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.32 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.97 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Hamar vs Reynir
1:4
Sep 14, 2013 Division 2
Reynir vs Hamar
2:1
Jul 5, 2013 Division 2
Hamar vs Reynir
0:1
Aug 10, 2012 Division 2
Reynir vs Hamar
1:3
May 31, 2012 Division 2
Hamar vs Reynir
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hardarson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Reynir Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdsson B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Misura T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamar 10 / 100
Reynir 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamar Reynir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reynir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reynir let in goals in 94% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hamar scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Reynir has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamar VS Reynir
1.5 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamar

(Home)
10 Mar
Ulfarnir
4 : 2
Hamar
30 Mar
Hamar
1 : 3
Skallagrimur
05 Apr
Hamar
2 : 5
Hviti
02 Apr
IBU
7 : 0
Hamar
23 Apr
Hamar
0 : 2
Selfoss
Page 1 of 7

Reynir

(Away)
04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2
Reynir
28 Mar
Aegir
2 : 0
Reynir
21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7
Reynir
16 Jul
Olafsvik
3 : 1
Reynir
04 Apr
Reynir
0 : 5
Grindavik
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Hviti 6
Gnupverjar 2
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Reynir 1
Alftanes 0
Vatnaliljur 1
Hamar 2
KH Hlidarendi 8
Snaefell 0
TBD -
Vestri -
Vidir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Berserkir 15
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 3
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Kari 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar -
TBD -
Kongarnir 0
KFR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik -
TBD -
Ymir 0
Orninn 4
Tindastoll 2
Dalvik/Reynir 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Stokkseyri 1
Skallagrimur 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 4
Isbjorninn 1
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kria 2
KV Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Hottur 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 2
Arborg 0
Midas 0
Vaengirs 1
Throttur Vogar 2
Stal-Ulfur 1
TBD -
Grotta -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Kjalnesinga 0
Lettir 3
KFS 2
GG Grindavik 1
Aegir 0
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 0
Magni 15
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
Fram 1
Afturelding 0
Hviti 0
Kopavogur 1
Reynir 4
Hamar 1
KH Hlidarendi 0
Vestri 4
Vidir 4
Berserkir 1
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar 4
KFR 0
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik 1
Orninn 0
Tindastoll 1
KA Akureyri 2
Keflavik 2
Skallagrimur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 5
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn 1
Hottur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 1
Volsungur 2
Augnablik 3
Vaengirs 2
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 8
Lettir 0
KFS 1
KFG Gardabaer 9
Fjallabyggd 3
Magni 2
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
Fram 2
Kopavogur 0
Reynir 1
Vestri 2
Vidir 2
Sindri 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur 1
Fjolnir 0
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Keflavik 1
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 3
Kria 0
KV Reykjavik 0
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 3
Olafsvik 2
Huginn 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 1
Grotta 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Hafnarfjordur 9
1/8-finals
Fram 3
Vestri 2
Vidir 3
Selfoss 4
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 0
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 2
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 4
Grotta 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 4
Quarter-finals
Fram 0
Selfoss 2
Valur 5
Fylkir 0
Breidablik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Throttur 0
Hafnarfjordur 3
Semi-finals
Selfoss 1
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Final
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0