Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Schmitt C.
Own Goal
80'
80'
El Moumen K.
88'
88'
Britscho P.
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024 game between Hamborn and TVD Velbert finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamborn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- TVD Velbert have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Hamborn are scoring more at 1.41.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Hamborn taking it.
- Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors TVD Velbert here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hamborn Clean Sheet 20%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamborn | TVD Velbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 3.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.42 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs TVD Velbert
1:1
Sep 17, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Hamborn
4:1
Apr 29, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Hamborn
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs TVD Velbert
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamborn Compare
Top Goalscorer El Moumen K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21
TVD Velbert Compare
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamborn 85 / 100
TVD Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamborn TVD Velbert
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hamborn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TVD Velbert has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Hamborn scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Away concern: TVD Velbert has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS TVD Velbert
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamborn
(Home) 04 Aug
Hamborn
7 : 0 SC St.Tonis
02 Jun
Schonnebeck
4 : 1 Hamborn
26 May
Hamborn
3 : 1 Germania Ratingen
12 May
Mulheimer FC 97
4 : 3 Hamborn
08 May
Frintrop
4 : 0 Hamborn
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Hamborn
7 : 0 SC St.Tonis
26 May
Hamborn
3 : 1 Germania Ratingen
28 Apr
Hamborn
1 : 4 Meerbusch
13 Apr
Hamborn
2 : 1 Union Nettetal
10 Mar
Hamborn
1 : 1 TVD Velbert
Page 1 of 3
TVD Velbert
(Away) 01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5 FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0 TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8 SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3 TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5 Meerbusch
Page 1 of 7
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0 TVD Velbert
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3 TVD Velbert
25 Apr
Hilden
3 : 0 TVD Velbert
13 Apr
Sonsbeck
0 : 2 TVD Velbert
30 Mar
Union Nettetal
1 : 4 TVD Velbert
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baumberg | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 74:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Schonnebeck | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 71:46 | 60 |
| 3 | Uerdingen | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 56:40 | 58 |
| 4 | SW Essen | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 60:44 | 53 |
| 5 | Homberg | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 52:42 | 52 |
| 6 | Hilden | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:49 | 52 |
| 7 | Germania Ratingen | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 55:48 | 51 |
| 8 | Sonsbeck | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 50:48 | 44 |
| 9 | Buderich | 32 | 13 | 3 | 16 | 52:51 | 42 |
| 10 | SC St.Tonis | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 56:59 | 41 |
| 11 | Union Nettetal | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 47:62 | 40 |
| 12 | Mulheimer FC 97 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 51:61 | 36 |
| 13 | Kleve | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 33:56 | 35 |
| 14 | Meerbusch | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 52:62 | 34 |
| 15 | TVD Velbert | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 50:65 | 34 |
| 16 | Frintrop | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Hamborn | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 36:69 | 29 |
| 18 | Straelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2024/2025 (Main)
