Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamburger III vs SC Victoria Hamburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Palzer L.
11' Event
Winkel S.
17' Event
Bergmann D.

AI Match Summary

SC Victoria Hamburg in this Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Victoria Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hamburger III
6%
Draws
90%
SC Victoria Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Victoria Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Victoria Hamburg have won more games recently than Hamburger III.
  • SC Victoria Hamburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SC Victoria Hamburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hamburger III Clean Sheet 17%
SC Victoria Hamburg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger III SC Victoria Hamburg
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 20
Draws 2 10
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Hamburger III vs SC Victoria Hamburg
3:5
Oct 18, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
SC Victoria Hamburg vs Hamburger III
4:1
Nov 25, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Hamburger III vs SC Victoria Hamburg
3:1
Aug 5, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
SC Victoria Hamburg vs Hamburger III
3:2
Nov 19, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
SC Victoria Hamburg vs Hamburger III
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamburger III Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgmann M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Exposito E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SC Victoria Hamburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergmann D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Palzer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger III 10 / 100
SC Victoria Hamburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger III SC Victoria Hamburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Hamburger III found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

SC Victoria Hamburg let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Away concern: SC Victoria Hamburg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Victoria Hamburg
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Altona34257299:3082
2Dassendorf34264498:3282
3Eimsbutteler34224896:4870
4Paloma34224884:5470
5ETSV Hamburg342031196:5063
6Niendorfer TSV34187978:4461
7HEBC Hamburg341651356:4553
8Vorwarts-Wacker341551486:9750
9TSV Buchholz 08341441670:7646
10Suderelbe341351670:8344
11SC Victoria Hamburg341251769:7341
12Sasel341171660:7340
13Turkiye Wilhelmsburg341061873:9436
14Harksheide34981763:8935
15Halstenbek-Rellingen341051953:8335
16TSV Concordia34852147:8829
17Alsterbruder34742337:9025
18Hamburger III34322945:13111