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Hamburger U19 vs St. Pauli U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamburger U19 host St. Pauli U19 in the DFB Youth League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. St. Pauli U19 have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Hamburger U19 have conceded 1.89 and scored 2.5. Past meetings favor Hamburger U19 slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 2.69) point toward Hamburger U19. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hamburger U19
15%
Draws
28%
St. Pauli U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamburger U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamburger U19 have won more games recently than St. Pauli U19.
  • Win probability leans Hamburger U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hamburger U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hamburger U19 Clean Sheet 10%
St. Pauli U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger U19 St. Pauli U19
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.5 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Hamburger U19
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 DFB Youth League
Hamburger U19 vs St. Pauli U19
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Hamburger U19
0:1
Sep 24, 2024 DFB Youth League
Hamburger U19 vs St. Pauli U19
3:0
Sep 4, 2024 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Hamburger U19
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger U19 83 / 100
St. Pauli U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger U19 St. Pauli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamburger U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamburger U19 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

St. Pauli U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Hamburger U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger U19 VS St. Pauli U19
3.38 Goals Scored 3.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger U19

(Home)
20 Sept
Hannover U19
6 : 5
Hamburger U19
12 Sept
Magdeburg U19
0 : 3
Hamburger U19
05 Sept
Hansa Rostock U19
3 : 5
Hamburger U19
29 Aug
Wehen U19
2 : 4
Hamburger U19
19 Aug
Holstein Kiel U19
0 : 2
Hamburger U19
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St. Pauli U19

(Away)
10 Oct
Holstein Kiel U19
3 : 1
St. Pauli U19
03 Oct
St. Pauli U19
3 : 2
Hansa Rostock U19
12 Sept
St. Pauli U19
1 : 3
Werder Bremen U19
30 Aug
St. Pauli U19
1 : 2
Koln U19
23 Aug
Berliner AK 07 U19
0 : 1
St. Pauli U19
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Werder Bremen U19 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 Magdeburg U19 6 4 1 1 12:9 13
3 Hamburger U19 5 4 0 1 14:7 12
4 St. Pauli U19 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
5 Berliner AK 07 U19 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
6 Holstein Kiel U19 6 1 1 4 10:15 4
7 Hansa Rostock U19 7 0 2 5 16:24 2
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Berlin U19 6 5 1 0 18:7 16
2 Hallescher U19 7 4 1 2 16:13 13
3 Cottbus U19 7 4 0 3 16:9 12
4 Braunschweig U19 7 3 1 3 9:19 10
5 Jena U19 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
6 Hertha U19 6 2 0 4 13:12 6
7 Babelsberg U19 6 2 0 4 14:17 6
8 Chemnitzer U19 5 1 0 4 12:18 3
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig U19 7 6 0 1 22:9 18
2 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 5 0 1 23:7 15
3 Nurnberg U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
4 Dresden U19 8 3 0 5 17:19 9
5 Furth U19 6 2 1 3 8:13 7
6 Aue U19 7 2 0 5 9:23 6
7 Erfurt U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern U19 6 5 0 1 21:9 15
2 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 19:12 13
3 Munich 1860 U19 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
4 Ingolstadt U19 6 3 0 3 12:12 9
5 Unterhaching U19 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
6 Regensburg U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
7 Freiberg U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heidenheim U19 7 5 1 1 21:8 16
2 Freiburg U19 7 4 3 0 14:8 15
3 Hoffenheim U19 7 4 1 2 24:10 13
4 Karlsruher U19 7 3 2 2 8:13 11
5 Augsburg U19 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
6 Sandhausen U19 7 2 1 4 10:21 7
7 Stuttgarter Kickers U19 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
8 Ulm U19 7 1 1 5 10:12 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koln U19 6 5 1 0 21:3 16
2 Mainz U19 6 3 3 0 15:7 12
3 Kaiserslautern U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
4 Darmstadt U19 6 2 1 3 12:15 7
5 Fortuna Koln U19 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
6 Wehen U19 5 2 0 3 7:17 6
7 FSV Frankfurt U19 6 0 2 4 9:19 2
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leverkusen U19 6 6 0 0 20:4 18
2 Viktoria Koln U19 6 4 1 1 28:13 13
3 B. Monchengladbach U19 6 3 1 2 16:13 10
4 Bochum U19 5 3 0 2 16:8 9
5 Elversberg U19 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
6 Alemannia Aachen U19 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
7 Saarbrucken U19 7 0 0 7 4:34 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund U19 6 4 2 0 14:5 14
2 Duisburg U19 6 4 2 0 11:2 14
3 Schalke U19 6 2 3 1 4:2 9
4 Dusseldorf U19 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
5 VfL Osnabruck U19 5 1 2 2 6:5 5
6 RW Essen U19 5 1 2 2 7:13 5
7 Oberhausen U19 6 0 0 6 6:18 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arminia Bielefeld U19 7 5 0 2 19:8 15
2 Hannover U19 6 5 0 1 18:9 15
3 Wolfsburg U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
4 Preussen Munster U19 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
5 Meppen U19 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Paderborn U19 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
7 TSV Havelse U19 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)