Sport Picks
Hamburger vs 1. FC Koln - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Volksparkstadion, Hamburg 
Match Events
10'
10'
Gronbaek A.
44'
44'
Capaldo N.
Assist: Gronbaek A.
46'
46'
Sub
Moffi T. In: Poulsen Y.
Out: Moffi T.
AI Match Summary
Hamburger in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamburger.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamburger
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Hamburger have won more games recently than 1. FC Koln.
- Win probability leans 1. FC Koln's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamburger | 1. FC Koln |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs 1. FC Koln
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs 1. FC Koln
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Hamburger
4:1
Jan 18, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hamburger vs 1. FC Koln
1:0
Aug 2, 2024 2. Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Hamburger
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamburger Compare
Top Goalscorer Capaldo N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Poulsen Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
1. FC Koln Compare
Top Goalscorer Ache R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamburger 22 / 100
1. FC Koln 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamburger 1. FC Koln
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick 1. FC Koln Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
1. FC Koln has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Hamburger scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Hamburger stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamburger VS 1. FC Koln
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamburger
(Home) 04 Oct
Hamburger
2 : 0 FC Copenhagen
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1 1. FC Koln
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
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04 Oct
Hamburger
2 : 0 FC Copenhagen
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1 1. FC Koln
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
08 Aug
Hamburger
2 : 2 Lille
01 Aug
Hamburger
1 : 2 Everton
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1. FC Koln
(Away) 03 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 2 1. FC Koln
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1 1. FC Koln
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2 Hoffenheim
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03 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 2 1. FC Koln
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1 1. FC Koln
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
24 Aug
Wurzburger Kickers
1 : 2 1. FC Koln
23 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
0 : 8 1. FC Koln
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
