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Hamburger vs Hannover

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Taibi W.
44' Event
Rochelt J.
46'
Sub
Philippe R. In: Sahiti E.
Out: Philippe R.

AI Match Summary

Hannover in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hannover.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hamburger
15%
Draws
46%
Hannover
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hannover

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hannover have won more games recently than Hamburger.
  • Model gives Hannover a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Hannover Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger Hannover
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.31 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Hamburger vs Hannover
1:3
Feb 2, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Hannover
2:2
Aug 23, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Hannover vs Hamburger
1:0
Feb 9, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Hannover
3:4
Aug 26, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Hannover vs Hamburger
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamburger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Hannover Compare

Top Goalscorer Taibi W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rochelt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger 10 / 100
Hannover 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger Hannover

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hannover Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Hamburger found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Hannover has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Hamburger has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger VS Hannover
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger

(Home)
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0
Hamburger
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5
Mainz
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0
Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3
Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2
Hamburger
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Hannover

(Away)
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Hannover
04 Sept
Hannover
2 : 2
Karlsruher
30 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 1
Hannover
22 Aug
Hemelingen
1 : 9
Hannover
16 Aug
Hannover
0 : 1
Wolfsburg
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