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Hamburger vs Lyon

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lyon in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hamburger
33%
Draws
40%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lyon have won more games recently than Hamburger.
  • Win probability leans Lyon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger Lyon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.88
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Hamburger vs Lyon
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger 26 / 100
Lyon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LYO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamburger scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Lyon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Hamburger has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger VS Lyon
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger

(Home)
18 Jul
Rapid Vienna
3 : 2
Hamburger
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1
Hamburger
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2
Freiburg
02 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 2
Hamburger
25 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 2
Hoffenheim
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Lyon

(Away)
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0
Lyon
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1
Servette
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3
St. Gallen
08 Jul
Lyon
5 : 2
Macon
17 May
Lyon
0 : 4
Lens
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