Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamburger vs Lyon

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lyon in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hamburger
20%
Draws
46%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lyon have won more games recently than Hamburger.
  • Win probability leans Lyon's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger Lyon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Hamburger vs Lyon
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger 10 / 100
Lyon 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hamburger scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Lyon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Hamburger has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger VS Lyon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger

(Home)
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0
Hamburger
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5
Mainz
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0
Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3
Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2
Hamburger
Page 1 of 6

Lyon

(Away)
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
26 Aug
Lyon
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
Page 1 of 6