Sport Picks
Hamburger W vs Freiburg W Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
Bundesliga Women Volksparkstadion, Hamburg 
Match Events
49'
49'
Kruger M.
63'
63'
Ojukwu N.
64'
64'
Sub
Acikgoz I. In: Vobian S.
Out: Acikgoz I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Freiburg W have won more games recently than Hamburger W.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Hamburger W taking it.
- Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hamburger W Clean Sheet 10%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamburger W | Freiburg W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Freiburg W
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Freiburg W
0:2
Sep 19, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Hamburger W
6:2
Apr 15, 2012 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Freiburg W
1:1
Oct 30, 2011 DFB Pokal Women
Hamburger W vs Freiburg W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamburger W Compare
Top Goalscorer Karczewska N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Freiburg W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ojukwu N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamburger W 38 / 100
Freiburg W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamburger W Freiburg W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hamburger W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Hamburger W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Freiburg W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Hamburger W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamburger W VS Freiburg W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamburger W
(Home) 26 Sept
Meppen W
1 : 2 Hamburger W
20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1 1.FC Nurnberg W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0 Hamburger W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1 RB Leipzig W
29 Aug
VfB Stuttgart W
2 : 1 Hamburger W
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20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1 1.FC Nurnberg W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1 RB Leipzig W
23 Aug
Hamburger W
1 : 1 Freiburg W
01 Aug
Hamburger W
0 : 1 Everton W
22 Jul
Hamburger W
6 : 0 Holstein Kiel W
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Freiburg W
(Away) 26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2 Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0 Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1 Freiburg W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0 Union Berlin W
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26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2 Freiburg W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1 Freiburg W
23 Aug
Hamburger W
1 : 1 Freiburg W
28 Jul
Zurich W
0 : 7 Freiburg W
18 Jul
Luzern W
1 : 5 Freiburg W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Koln W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 9 |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart W | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Freiburg W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Hamburger W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 5 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Hoffenheim W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 12 | Union Berlin W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 13 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8:19 | 2 |
| 14 | Mainz W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:14 | 0 |
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)
