Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamburger W vs Union Berlin W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Hipp J.
50'
Steinert J.
59'
Machtens P.

AI Match Summary

Union Berlin W in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Berlin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Hamburger W
20%
Draws
48%
Union Berlin W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Berlin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Hamburger W haven't matched Union Berlin W's recent run of results.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Hamburger W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hamburger W Clean Sheet 15%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger W Union Berlin W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Union Berlin W vs Hamburger W
2:2
May 1, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Union Berlin W
0:1
Nov 21, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Hamburger W
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Union Berlin W
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 2. Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Hamburger W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamburger W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Union Berlin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tysiak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger W 75 / 100
Union Berlin W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger W Union Berlin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamburger W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Berlin W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Hamburger W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Union Berlin W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger W VS Union Berlin W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger W

(Home)
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1
RB Leipzig W
29 Aug
VfB Stuttgart W
2 : 1
Hamburger W
23 Aug
Hamburger W
1 : 1
Freiburg W
16 Aug
Werder Bremen W
5 : 1
Hamburger W
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Union Berlin W

(Away)
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0
Union Berlin W
07 Sept
Union Berlin W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
Union Berlin W
21 Aug
Union Berlin W
1 : 4
Bayern Munich W
15 Aug
PSG W
1 : 3
Union Berlin W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)