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Hameenlinna vs PoPa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen 2011
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
75' Event
76' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen 2011 game between Hameenlinna and PoPa finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PoPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hameenlinna
15%
Draws
42%
PoPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hameenlinna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Hameenlinna's 1.78 goals per match outpaces what PoPa have produced (1.27).
  • Hameenlinna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hameenlinna Clean Sheet 16%
PoPa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hameenlinna PoPa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.78 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2011 Ykkosliiga
Hameenlinna vs PoPa
1:3
May 7, 2011 Ykkosliiga
PoPa vs Hameenlinna
2:3
Aug 28, 2010 Ykkosliiga
PoPa vs Hameenlinna
1:0
Apr 25, 2010 Ykkosliiga
Hameenlinna vs PoPa
2:2
Oct 4, 2009 Ykkosliiga
Hameenlinna vs PoPa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hameenlinna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

PoPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vihtila T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hameenlinna 84 / 100
PoPa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hameenlinna PoPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hameenlinna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hameenlinna found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: PoPa conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

PoPa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hameenlinna VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hameenlinna

(Home)
04 Oct
Hameenlinna
2 : 4
TPV
28 Sept
Sporting Kristina
1 : 2
Hameenlinna
20 Sept
Hameenlinna
3 : 1
MaPS
13 Sept
VIFK
2 : 1
Hameenlinna
07 Sept
Ilves-Kissat
2 : 1
Hameenlinna
Page 1 of 7

PoPa

(Away)
22 Oct
FC KooTeePee
3 : 0
PoPa
16 Oct
PoPa
1 : 0
Espoo
01 Oct
OPS
7 : 0
PoPa
21 Sept
PoPa
1 : 5
Viikingit
17 Sept
PoPa
4 : 2
PS Kemi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lahti 24 16 4 4 50:18 52
2 OPS 24 15 4 5 46:26 49
3 AC Oulu 24 14 6 4 51:22 48
4 PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive" 24 13 5 6 38:19 44
5 Viikingit 24 13 4 7 50:28 43
6 FC KooTeePee 24 13 2 9 37:26 41
7 Hameenlinna 24 9 6 9 30:34 33
8 Jippo 24 6 12 6 24:20 30
9 HIFK 24 8 5 11 26:30 29
10 PS Kemi 24 5 4 15 25:43 19
11 PoPa 24 6 1 17 23:58 19
12 KPV Kokkola 24 4 4 16 19:58 16
13 Espoo 24 3 5 16 19:56 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2012 (Main)