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Hameenlinna vs TPV Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2014
Hameenlinna Logo

Hameenlinna

Sat, Mar 29, 2014
3 - 2
04:30 PM
TPV Logo

TPV

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Purosto M.
Own Goal
64' Event
Korsunov S.
103' Event
Koroma M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Hameenlinna advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hameenlinna
15%
Draws
42%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hameenlinna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Hameenlinna haven't matched TPV's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Hameenlinna taking it.
  • TPV arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor TPV, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hameenlinna Clean Sheet 19%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hameenlinna TPV
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2014 Kakkonen West
Hameenlinna vs TPV
2:4
Aug 6, 2014 Kakkonen West
TPV vs Hameenlinna
1:4
Jun 13, 2014 Kakkonen West
Hameenlinna vs TPV
0:1
Mar 29, 2014 Suomen Cup
Hameenlinna vs TPV
3:2
Aug 18, 2013 Kakkonen West
TPV vs Hameenlinna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hameenlinna Compare

Top Goalscorer Topinoja A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Korsunov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koroma M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hameenlinna 49 / 100
TPV 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hameenlinna TPV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hameenlinna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hameenlinna scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

TPV has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: TPV registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS TPV
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hameenlinna

(Home)
04 Oct
Hameenlinna
2 : 4
TPV
28 Sept
Sporting Kristina
1 : 2
Hameenlinna
20 Sept
Hameenlinna
3 : 1
MaPS
13 Sept
VIFK
2 : 1
Hameenlinna
07 Sept
Ilves-Kissat
2 : 1
Hameenlinna
Page 1 of 6

TPV

(Away)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
20 Sept
FC Inter Turku 2
3 : 0
TPV
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Mariehamn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TPV 7
VaKP 0
Peimari United 3
Pallo-Iirot 5
Jaro -
TBD -
VG-62 Naantali 0
Hameenlinna 2
TPS -
TBD -
GBK Kokkola 1
AC Oulu 3
AC Kajaani 1
KPV Kokkola 0
Rollon Pojat 2
PS Kemi 6
JaPS 1
Sibbo Vargarna 0
Keski-Uusimaa 0
KTP 4
EsPa 3
Lahti/69 1
PK-37 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Haka 4
Jippo 0
HPS II 1
Klubi 04 4
Sudet 4
RiPS 0
JoPS 1
SiPS 5
BK-46 4
Honka II 0
HIFK 4 0
Viikingit 9
Peltirumpu 3
Espoo 2
FC Myllypuro 0
Atlantis 6
RoPS Rovaniemi -
TBD -
TBD -
NePa -
Abo IFK 1
PaiHa 0
SalPa 0
Ilves 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
Lahti -
TBD -
SUMU 0
KaPa 3
Viikingit 2 1
Toolon Taisto 0
Tuusulan Palloseura 3
NJS 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
VPS -
HIFK 5
HIFK 2 1
Toolon Vesa 1
FC Kontu 3
Ekenas IF 3
Sudet 2 0
Hyvinkaan Palloseura (HyPS) 0
FC Futura 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SJK -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 2
HIFK III 0
Gnistan 1
HJK-Toolo 2
JBK 3
KPV Kokkola II 1
JanPa 3
LeKi-Futis 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honka -
MyPa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kiffen 1
Pallohonka 0
PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive" 0
GrIFK 1
VIFK -
TP-47 -
MaPS 0
Jazz Pori 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Turku -
1/32-finals
Mariehamn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TPV 3
Pallo-Iirot 1
Jaro 1
Hameenlinna 2
TPS 4
AC Oulu 0
AC Kajaani 1
PS Kemi 3
JaPS 1
KTP 0
EsPa 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 4
Haka 4
Klubi 04 3
Sudet 1
SiPS 2
BK-46 4
Viikingit 3
Peltirumpu 1
Atlantis 2
RoPS Rovaniemi 3
NePa 0
Abo IFK 1
Ilves 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
Lahti 2
KaPa 1
Viikingit 2 0
NJS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
VPS -
HIFK 8
FC Kontu 0
Ekenas IF 0
FC Futura 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SJK -
KuPS -
TBD -
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 0
HJK-Toolo 3
JBK 2
LeKi-Futis 0
TBD -
Honka -
MyPa -
TBD -
Kiffen 1
GrIFK 2
VIFK 3
Jazz Pori 2
TBD -
Inter Turku -
1/16-finals
Mariehamn -
TBD -
TPV 2
Hameenlinna 3
TPS 2
PS Kemi 1
JaPS 1
JJK Jyvaskyla 3
Haka 5
SiPS 0
BK-46 0
Atlantis 2
RoPS Rovaniemi 3
Ilves 0
TBD -
HJK -
Lahti 6
NJS 0
TBD -
VPS -
HIFK 7
FC Futura 1
TBD -
SJK -
KuPS 8
HJK-Toolo 0
JBK 1
Honka 3
MyPa 2
GrIFK 0
VIFK 0
Inter Turku 2
1/8-finals
Mariehamn 4
Hameenlinna 2
TPS 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Haka 4
Atlantis 1
RoPS Rovaniemi 0
HJK 2
Lahti 1
VPS 0
HIFK 0
SJK 1
KuPS 3
Honka 0
MyPa 0
Inter Turku 3
Quarter-finals
Mariehamn 2
JJK Jyvaskyla 0
Haka 0
HJK 3
Lahti 1
SJK 0
KuPS 1
Inter Turku 2
Semi-finals
Mariehamn 1
HJK 2
Lahti 1
Inter Turku 2
Final
HJK 1
Inter Turku 0