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Hamilton vs Aberdeen B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2021/2022 ZLX Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamilton play Aberdeen B in the Challenge Cup 2021/2022. Hamilton are favorites here. Recently, Hamilton averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Aberdeen B averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.35 conceded. In past meetings, Hamilton won 1, Aberdeen B won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 6, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Hamilton and 1.73 for Aberdeen B. This points to a Hamilton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hamilton
16%
Draws
24%
Aberdeen B
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Hamilton picked up more points recently compared to Aberdeen B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.73 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 12%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Aberdeen B
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2021 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Aberdeen B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer McGowan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munro K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aberdeen B Compare

Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 56 / 100
Aberdeen B 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Aberdeen B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hamilton & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hamilton attacking → ← attacking Aberdeen B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Aberdeen B let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hamilton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aberdeen B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 17
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.20
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00